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What $10,000 is worth after 10 years of 4% inflation

After 10 years of 4% inflation, what $10,000 buys today will cost $14,802, and $10,000 held in cash will buy only $6,756 worth of today's goods, a loss of 32.44%.

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The numbers for these inputs

YearCost of the same goodsBuying power of the amountBuying power lost
1$10,400$9,6153.85%
2$10,816$9,2467.54%
3$11,249$8,89011.1%
4$11,699$8,54814.52%
5$12,167$8,21917.81%
6$12,653$7,90320.97%
7$13,159$7,59924.01%
8$13,686$7,30726.93%
9$14,233$7,02629.74%
10$14,802$6,75632.44%

How it works

Inflation compounds like interest. If prices rise by a steady rate each year, goods that cost one amount today cost amount x (1 + rate)^years after that many years.

The other side of it is buying power: money held in cash for that long buys only amount / (1 + rate)^years of today's goods.

Real inflation changes from year to year and differs between goods, so a single steady rate is an illustration. Use it to see the size of the effect, not to predict a price.

Common mistakes

  • Ignoring inflation when judging a savings rate: a 3% account in a 3% inflation year gains nothing in real terms.
  • Using the average inflation of one country for a price in another.
  • Assuming every price rises at the headline rate; housing, food and electronics move differently.

Questions

How much will $10,000 of goods cost in 10 years?

$14,802 at 4% a year.

What will $10,000 be worth in 10 years?

In today's buying power, $6,756: inflation takes away 32.44% of it.

What inflation rate should I use?

Many central banks aim for about 2%; use the average rate of your country over a long period rather than one recent year.

How do I protect savings from inflation?

Earn a return at or above inflation: compare the interest rate with the inflation rate, and see the compound interest calculator for the effect of growth.

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